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  1. Amaral, AVR, Rubio, FJ, Quaresma, M, Rodríguez-Cortés, FJ, and Moraga, P (2024). Extended Excess Hazard Models for Spatially Dependent Survival Data. Statistical Methods in Medical Research.
  2. Amaral, AVR, Krainski, ET, Zhong, R, and Moraga, P (2023). Model-based Geostatistics under Spatially Varying Preferential Sampling. Journal of Agricultural, Biological and Environmental Statistics.
  3. Amaral, AVR, González, JA, and Moraga, P (2022).  Spatio-temporal modeling of infectious diseases by integrating compartment and point process models. Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment.
  4. Mahmood, M, Amaral, AVR, Mateu, J, and Moraga, P (2022). Modeling infectious disease dynamics: Integrating contact tracing-based stochastic compartment and spatio-temporal risk models. Spatial Statistics.


  1. Zhong, R, Amaral, AVR, and Moraga, P (2023). Spatial data fusion adjusting for preferential sampling using INLA and SPDE. arXiv preprint. arXiv:2309.03316. Accepted in Journal of the Royal Statistical Society (Series A).


  1. Amaral, AVR, Wolffram, D, Bracher, J, and Moraga, P (2024+). The nowcast puzzle: post-processing and weighted combination of infectious disease nowcasts. In preparation.